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Betting and stats expert Justin Ray is Head of Content for Twenty First Group. Here are his five key insights ahead of The Bay Golf Club vs. Los Angeles Golf Club on Monday night at SoFi Center...
LAGC bounced back from a season-opening defeat in its last match, squaring its record at 1-1-0 with a win over Jupiter Links. With arguably its best player making his season debut – Tommy Fleetwood – things look promising for LAGC’s postseason chances.
Meanwhile, with its playoff hopes dangling precariously, The Bay Golf Club (0-2-0) will turn to a pair of golf’s rising stars as alternates: Luke Clanton and Neal Shipley. Will newcomers continue to shine at SoFi Center?
HOW TO WATCH: The Bay Golf Club vs. Los Angeles Golf Club
Here are the top numbers and notes to know entering the match between The Bay Golf Club and LAGC, Monday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
MONDAY’S OPENING STRETCH
Course history will significantly favor Los Angeles heading into this match. The first five holes in play include both Alpine and Set In Stone, both holes where LAGC holds the best all-time record of any team.
Overall, Los Angeles has played the first five holes in use Monday 20 times and lost only once, accruing a record of 10-1-9.
The Bay GC hasn’t been terrible on those same holes – 8-7-7 – but the advantage on paper is crystal clear. How significant is getting off to an early lead? Across both seasons, teams to lead a match after six holes have a record of 15-3-1.
HARD RESET FOR THE BAY
It’s been a brutal opening two matches for The Bay Golf Club, one of the most successful teams in Season 1. Not only has The Bay dropped each of its first two matches, it has already lost more holes this season (16) than the entire 2025 regular season (15).
STATS: Check out the full stats available for TGL presented by SoFi
The Bay rattled off a birdie-or-better rate as a club last year of 36.0%, tied with Atlanta Drive GC for best during regular season play. Entering Monday, it ranks dead last in that metric.
Enter two men making their TGL debuts Monday. Clanton, who earned his card last year through the PGA TOUR University Accelerated program, spent 42 weeks as the world’s top ranked amateur. Shipley was low amateur at both the 2024 Masters and U.S. Open, just the fourth player since 1990 to earn both honors in the same season.
Alternates have made a significant impact so far in Season 2: To date, the four players making their league debuts have a match record of 3-1. Akshay Bhatia of Jupiter Links is the only player to lose his TGL career debut this season.
AVOID THE BIG NUMBER
With several new holes in play, one emerging statistical storyline has been the rapid increase in shots into penalty areas. As the regular season prepares to cross the halfway mark, there have already been 30 shots into the penalty area in Season 2 – more than four per match. There were just 32 in all of 2025, including the playoffs.
Will some less aggressive decision making benefit The Bay? The club has already tallied nine of those penalties, nearly twice as many as the entirety of last year (five). All-time, The Bay is a perfect 3-0-0 when it avoids penalties in a match, and 1-4-0 otherwise.
LAGC REBOUNDS
One of the keys in Los Angeles’ victory over Jupiter Links was vastly improved play on par 5s. In its season opening defeat to Boston, LAGC was just 2-for-5 in fairways hit on those holes, leading to zero instances of hitting the green in two shots. Against Jupiter, LA found 4-of-5 fairways, hit the green in two twice, and went unbeaten on the par 5s at 4-0-1.
Truthfully, LAGC did everything better in match two: Its 22 feet, 7 inches average proximity to the hole was almost nine feet better than in the loss to the Ballfrogs. Converting all four of its putts from 5 to 12 feet certainly didn’t hurt, either.
In its win over Jupiter Links, LA had 5.39 strokes gained ball striking as a team, its second-best such performance in team history. LAGC hopes that continues Monday with two old friends making their 2026 TGL debut appearances.
FLEETWOOD AND FINAU
Fleetwood returns to SoFi Center with more Ryder Cup heroics and hardware in tow. The Englishman is in the OWGR top five for the 19th consecutive week, looking to pick up a win for LAGC before heading to Pebble Beach for his 2026 PGA TOUR debut. Fleetwood posted strong records in both Triples (11-8-17) and Singles (3-1-4) in Season 1.
Six-time PGA TOUR winner Tony Finau will make his second career appearance for LAGC. In Season 1, he made his lone appearance as an alternate a memorable one, helping to lead LA from down 4-0 with four holes to play to a dramatic overtime win. He punctuated a two-point, Hammer-fueled win on Alpine over Cameron Young with a ten-foot birdie putt to keep LAGC alive in the match.
Finau will hit the opening tee shot on that very hole Monday against The Bay.
Justin Ray's prediction: Los Angeles Golf Club to win (-163 at FanDuel Sportsbook). Odds accurate at time of publication.
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