With LAGC set to face Jupiter Links on Tuesday, Kyle Porter breaks down the second match of the TGL presented by SoFi season.
After last week’s debut, the action returns on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN when Tiger Woods makes his first start for Jupiter Links Golf Club against Collin Morikawa and Los Angeles Golf Club.
Obviously, any time Tiger is swinging a golf club, there are numerous reasons to tune in. Even more so this week as two new teams enter SoFi Center for the first time.
Let’s take a look at three storylines going into this matchup between the two teams.
Tiger’s first start
He hasn't played much golf recently, but Tiger looked fit and fantastic at the PNC Championship in December.
Plus, the only video we have (thus far) of him hitting balls at SoFi Center is perhaps my favorite single piece of content that has been produced there. The best to ever do it just trying to quell an impossible game.
Woods will not have to swing as much as he would at a regular event, and he won’t have to walk the fairways. The fact he's playing and the addition of the mic'd up element will be great theater, but more importantly for his team, he will bring his all-time talent to the table. After what we witnessed in Week 1, I think there’s an opportunity for Tiger to shine in and around the GreenZone and its grains and lies as much as anywhere in the game.
There was perhaps more emphasis on short game in the Week 1 matchup between The Bay Golf Club and New York Golf Club than I thought there would be, and few players have ever been as creative or as good as Tiger Woods on and around the green.
First Look at LAGC
How good will this LAGC team be in season 1? On paper, they look to be one of the best. With an average Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) of 19, only Boston Common Golf has a better average world ranking across the team (9). There are certainly some questions overall, but their skillsets should fit so nicely with each other. I love their triples order with Justin Rose teeing off, Collin Morikawa hitting after him and then Sahith Theegala getting to show off his magical short game. Strategically, that’s probably how I would have set it up as well.
Morikawa makes his first start after a near win at The Sentry to begin the PGA TOUR season. When you combine the fact that his consistent fade is starting to return with the reality that his statistics have never looked better throughout his career, there’s a pretty good argument to be made that he’ll be the most in-form player in the arena on Tuesday evening.
Closer matchup On Tap?
One of my big takeaways from last week is just how compelling a close match is going to be late and just how much strategy there could be around throwing the Hammer. Last week’s match between The Bay Golf Club and New York Golf Club was a blowout once singles started, but it was easy to envision the Hammer being strategically thrown in ways that would impact the match.
Remember: When thrown, the Hammer immediately ups the value of the hole by one point unless it is declined by the other team, in which case the team that threw it automatically wins the hole and receives one point.
Let’s say Tiger’s team is down two points with three holes to go, and Tiger throws the Hammer against Rose. If he does so before the tee shot, Rose must accept, and all of a sudden that duo is playing for two points. That is extremely additive to the gameplay and will almost certainly be a factor late in close matches. This was all conceptual until last week when it started getting thrown around, and then it was clear that guys who have, say, 8-foot putts to win holes will absolutely throw the Hammer to try and steal a point.
Porter’s Picks
Match Prediction: While Jupiter Links has some real flushers, LAGC is going to be too much to overcome here. The west coast squad will spoil Tiger’s first outing, but it will be closer than a week ago. I also think the Hammer will be used more often than it was a week ago now that players have seen its importance. Let’s go with a 10-5 LAGC victory.
As for individual matchups, this is how I see them playing out.
Justin Rose vs. Tiger Woods: This one will be interesting, but I envision Tiger besting Rose on holes No. 10 and 13 to get a point or two for JLGC. I think his hands around the GreenZone will be immaculate and too much for Rose to overcome.
Collin Morikawa vs. Kevin Kisner: Morikawa is playing some of the best golf of anyone in the world right now. You could put almost anyone in Kisner’s spot and I would still take Morikawa because he's playing so well.
Sahith Theegala vs. Max Homa: Probably the closest of the three matchups, although these two get it done in different ways. Theegala is a terrific driver, while Homa is one of the best iron players in the world. I lean toward Theegala, partly because their final hole is Quick Draw, which requires a great drive if a player is trying to take the shortcut and avoid playing a 720-yard hole.
Kyle Porter wrote close to 3 million words about golf over 12 years for CBS Sports and covered 47 majors and five Ryder Cups in the process. He has written three books – Normal Sport 1, 2 and 3 – and built a newsletter of 15,000 golf fans at normalsport.com.